Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 208.667233 234.151192 262.258809 295.687896 334.527128 378.426910 432.079336
2025-04-20 175.030065 209.898120 251.682777 305.982809 375.470740 462.498360 581.476408
2025-04-27 158.256979 198.225873 248.836736 318.711298 414.420290 543.561317 735.676907
2025-05-04 142.049531 183.945380 239.302758 319.465467 435.446208 601.865429 867.856248
2025-05-11 126.766625 168.535261 225.630476 311.570530 441.656273 638.231364 972.487578
2025-05-18 114.947350 156.338936 214.614795 305.375406 448.427424 675.032350 1083.212842
2025-05-25 109.277898 152.084363 214.189671 314.372434 479.090156 753.423976 1279.509509
2025-06-01 101.950299 144.607908 208.062032 313.490994 493.195739 805.780653 1439.406765
2025-06-08 94.464838 136.183875 199.587331 307.668907 497.818312 841.622325 1574.524522
2025-06-15 89.276373 130.802262 195.281409 308.081657 513.052477 898.808778 1766.013558
2025-06-22 83.230431 123.585379 187.373173 301.412158 514.381381 929.201644 1906.005683
2025-06-29 78.928829 118.811263 183.016362 300.408810 525.999300 981.669769 2109.581718
2025-07-06 72.628497 110.480581 172.282206 287.266968 513.232351 982.987157 2193.409128
2025-07-13 70.959088 109.662842 174.218450 297.565622 548.474462 1094.056306 2592.587832
2025-07-20 69.709187 109.422372 177.075123 309.820866 589.431364 1226.130046 3096.357717
2025-07-27 66.783145 106.096673 174.173284 310.553598 605.844194 1303.573179 3468.900524
2025-08-03 62.901718 100.857646 167.417963 302.927967 602.732468 1332.176806 3698.505310
2025-08-10 59.566666 96.378738 161.738830 296.943501 602.569563 1368.412456 3967.956361
2025-08-17 58.421806 95.721445 163.101097 305.634347 637.772348 1505.925045 4654.374200
2025-08-24 56.147650 92.877282 160.106524 304.782994 649.950639 1582.544752 5148.965391
2025-08-31 53.464868 89.131631 155.123429 299.159140 649.583457 1623.055503 5518.235598
2025-09-07 51.665391 86.918045 152.971403 299.557865 664.542352 1712.741748 6144.742125
2025-09-14 49.225557 83.375817 147.968958 293.114475 660.892086 1744.269099 6525.503890